PCSO Mega Lotto 6/45 after the ₱115.99 million win: why the jackpot has sat at ₱15 million, and the real odds
Short answer — The PCSO Mega Lotto 6/45 draw on Friday, 30 October 2026 produced the numbers 09-37-34-18-27-44, with a listed jackpot of ₱15,000,000.00 and no jackpot winner. The same ₱15 million figure has been listed for all six draws since 19 October, after the 16 October draw carried a jackpot of ₱115,989,634.14. The next scheduled draws fall on Monday 2, Wednesday 4 and Friday 6 November at 9 PM. The chance of hitting all six numbers with one combination is exactly 1 in 8,145,060, by our calculation.
Why it matters to a Filipino player: a jackpot that looks "stuck" invites the wrong conclusions, from "it is due" to "the big one is coming". Neither follows. Below we set out what the published results show, what a ₱20 to ₱24 ticket actually buys in expected value, and what we could not confirm.
What did the 30 October draw show?
GMA News's results page for 30 October 2026, which reproduces the result released by the Philippine Charity Sweepstakes Office (PCSO), lists the winning numbers 09 37 34 18 27 44 and a jackpot prize of P15,000,000.00. The results archive at pcsodraw.com numbers that draw 3016 and shows zero jackpot winners for it.
Looking back through the same GMA results pages, the 16 October draw (numbers 08-22-19-10-35-27) carried a listed jackpot of ₱115,989,634.14. Every draw after it, on 19, 21, 23, 26, 28 and 30 October, shows exactly ₱15,000,000.00.
| Date | Draw | Winning numbers | Listed jackpot |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 16 Oct | 3010 | 08-22-19-10-35-27 | ₱115,989,634.14 |
| Mon 19 Oct | 3011 | 16-03-24-34-41-31 | ₱15,000,000.00 |
| Wed 21 Oct | 3012 | 09-43-40-03-07-31 | ₱15,000,000.00 |
| Fri 23 Oct | 3013 | 01-02-25-07-19-03 | ₱15,000,000.00 |
| Mon 26 Oct | 3014 | 06-34-45-36-30-16 | ₱15,000,000.00 |
| Wed 28 Oct | 3015 | 19-40-37-01-14-29 | ₱15,000,000.00 |
| Fri 30 Oct | 3016 | 09-37-34-18-27-44 | ₱15,000,000.00 |
Why has the jackpot not grown since 19 October?
Normally a lotto jackpot grows after each draw without a winner, because part of the sales goes into the prize pool. The drop from ₱115.99 million to ₱15 million between 16 and 19 October is consistent with the 16 October jackpot being won and the prize resetting. What is unusual is that the listed amount then stayed at exactly ₱15,000,000.00 for six draws in a row.
We can offer explanations but not a confirmed answer. One possibility is that ₱15 million is a guaranteed minimum that the growing pool has not yet exceeded. Another is that results pages repeat a starting figure until the PCSO posts an updated estimate. Adding to the uncertainty, the PCSO reminders reproduced by philnews.ph say the Mega Lotto jackpot "initially begins at Php 9,000,000.00", which does not match a ₱15 million reset. The PCSO's own results search blocked access from our server and from our browser session, so we could not check the official figure. Treat ₱15 million as the listed amount, not a confirmed pool size.
What are the real odds?
A Mega Lotto ticket picks six different numbers from 1 to 45. The number of possible combinations is 8,145,060, so each line has exactly one chance in 8,145,060 of matching all six. The lower tiers follow from the same counting, by our calculation:
| Match | Prize (per PCSO reminders on philnews.ph) | Winning combinations | Odds per line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 numbers | ₱20 | 182,780 | 1 in 44.6 |
| 4 numbers | up to ₱1,500 | 11,115 | 1 in 732.8 |
| 5 numbers | up to ₱50,000 | 234 | 1 in 34,808 |
| 6 numbers | Jackpot (listed ₱15,000,000) | 1 | 1 in 8,145,060 |
| Any prize | — | 194,130 | 1 in 42.0 |
Every draw starts from the same odds. The fact that the jackpot was won on 16 October does not make the next win less likely, and six draws without a winner since do not make the next one more likely. Numbers have no memory; the draw on 2 November is as random as the one on 30 October.
What does a ticket return on average?
The published price itself varies by source. GMA's results page says Mega Lotto "costs 20.00 EACH per play per draw", while the PCSO reminders on philnews.ph say the ticket is ₱24.00, "inclusive of the 20% Documentary Stamp Tax". The two figures are consistent if ₱20 is the price before stamp tax. We use both.
Multiplying each prize by its probability gives the average value of one line, by our calculation: about ₱0.45 from the three-number prize, ₱2.05 from four numbers (if the full ₱1,500 is paid), ₱1.44 from five numbers (at the full ₱50,000) and ₱1.84 from a ₱15 million jackpot that nobody shares. The total is about ₱5.77 per line before tax. The same reminders say prizes above ₱10,000 are subject to a 20% deduction under the TRAIN law; applying that to the five-number prize and the jackpot brings the average down to about ₱5.12.
Against a ₱24 ticket that is an average return of roughly 21% after tax, or an expected loss of about ₱18.88 per line. Against ₱20 it is about 26%. These are upper-end estimates, because the four- and five-number prizes are "up to" amounts and a jackpot can be shared. A bigger jackpot raises the average, but the ticket would need a jackpot far above the current level before the arithmetic came close to break-even, and taxes and sharing push that point further away.
Playing every draw for a year
Mega Lotto is drawn three times a week, so one line in every draw is about 156 lines a year. At ₱24 each that is ₱3,744 a year. The chance of hitting the jackpot at least once in that year is about 156 in 8,145,060, or roughly 1 in 52,212, by our calculation. Put differently, the average player in that position spends ₱3,744 and expects to get back about ₱800.
Even the ₱115.99 million jackpot did not change the verdict
It is tempting to think a ticket becomes "worth it" once the jackpot is large enough. The 16 October draw is a real test case. A jackpot of ₱115,989,634.14 is about 7.7 times the current ₱15 million. After the 20% deduction and assuming no sharing, its share of a line's average value is about ₱11.39 (₱92.79 million ÷ 8,145,060), by our calculation. Add the smaller tiers and one ₱24 line was worth about ₱15.04 on average, or roughly 63% of its price. Even at more than ₱100 million, the average ticket lost money, and that is before the real chance that a jackpot of that size is shared between several winners.
What is not confirmed?
- The official jackpot estimate. The ₱15,000,000.00 figure comes from results pages; the PCSO site was not reachable for us.
- Who won on 16 October and where. The results pages we read list the jackpot amount, not winner details.
- Draws on 2 November. It is All Souls' Day. The PCSO reminders say draws can be suspended on holidays with prior announcement; check PCSO's own channels before buying.
- Exact four- and five-number payouts. They are published as maximums ("up to").
What should a player in the Philippines keep in mind?
Buy only from authorised PCSO outlets or official channels, sign the back of your ticket, and check results against the PCSO's own release. Prizes up to ₱10,000 can be claimed at outlets; larger prizes go through a PCSO branch, the same reminders say. The reminders also state that only players 18 and above may play lotto. Lotto is a charity draw with a very low average return, so treat a ticket as a small donation with a dream attached, not a plan. For casino gaming, the PAGCOR responsible gaming page lists persons under 21 among those barred and links to a self-exclusion service.
SlotVIP is an independent information site with no link to the PCSO or any lotto outlet.
Sources (checked 31 October 2026): GMA News, Mega Lotto 6/45 results, 30 October 2026 (and the GMA results pages for 16, 19, 21, 23, 26 and 28 October 2026 at the same address pattern); pcsodraw.com Mega Lotto 6/45 results archive (draw numbers, winners); philnews.ph 6/45 page with PCSO reminders (schedule, ticket price, prize levels, tax, claims); PAGCOR responsible gaming. All odds, expected values, tax-adjusted figures and yearly totals are our calculation.